Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 329.996585 373.525748 421.675562 479.064529 545.832162 621.333272 713.556970
2025-11-16 264.278114 321.274049 389.860202 479.185334 593.486222 736.246112 930.254103
2025-11-23 225.922723 287.318045 365.280880 472.868264 619.568437 815.674894 1102.908171
2025-11-30 201.633008 265.996523 351.407832 475.086454 653.033155 905.229424 1299.740858
2025-12-07 179.607585 244.136485 332.923373 466.748695 668.226840 968.445981 1465.843304
2025-12-14 163.502826 228.208223 320.152256 463.827462 689.256205 1041.065652 1656.208081
2025-12-21 146.180616 208.540813 299.553017 446.137880 684.319429 1071.062134 1779.731905
2025-12-28 139.710051 204.035022 300.656042 461.472836 733.008624 1193.752332 2083.799959
2026-01-04 134.628678 201.001039 303.450218 479.404771 787.718634 1333.855430 2445.587728
2026-01-11 126.830162 192.945792 297.401366 481.720407 815.273778 1428.896409 2737.761502
2026-01-18 117.658428 181.887277 285.407903 472.396928 820.422960 1482.336826 2954.241256
2026-01-25 109.520865 171.847242 274.186667 463.137477 824.271520 1533.249289 3174.402055
2026-02-01 105.480459 168.447670 274.146192 474.477599 869.801344 1676.428444 3638.323575
2026-02-08 99.508619 161.325111 267.078701 472.110061 888.154915 1766.423987 3999.085876
2026-02-15 93.595708 153.831530 258.677456 466.219185 898.352962 1839.962655 4335.572914
2026-02-22 89.396654 149.017774 254.663921 468.359419 925.479449 1955.456752 4809.799739
2026-03-01 84.148778 141.949892 245.931100 460.165008 929.162093 2016.940229 5151.419711
2026-03-08 80.041520 136.664841 240.108577 457.291337 944.221817 2108.095082 5602.289226
2026-03-15 74.464694 128.317252 227.860647 439.892871 924.087679 2108.750172 5781.557841
2026-03-22 73.181714 127.881488 230.816205 454.975637 981.570696 2317.580719 6674.469732
2026-03-29 72.217985 127.968998 234.777176 472.610865 1047.624501 2561.760788 7766.237847
2026-04-05 69.649130 124.792988 231.957621 474.888046 1076.026894 2707.704848 8565.451306
2026-04-12 66.093533 119.475055 224.407236 465.719207 1074.173910 2767.023206 9066.000894